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INDIA NUCLEAR DEAL: Background
India Is Still Not in the Nonproliferation
Mainstream:
The arrangement would give India
rights and privileges of civil nuclear trade that are more favorable
than even for countries that are in good standing under the NPT.
- The deal fails to bring India
further into conformity with the nonproliferation behavior expected
of the NPT member states.
- Unlike 179 other countries, India
has not signed the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT).
- As one of only three states never to
have signed the NPT, it has not made a legally-binding
commitment to achieve nuclear disarmament.
- It
creates a dangerous distinction between "good" proliferators
and "bad" proliferators
and sends out misleading signals to the international community
with regard to NPT norms.
- It will make the task of winning international
support to contain and constrain the nuclear programs of North
Korea, Iran, and potential proliferators more difficult.
The Agreement Would Indirectly Assist
India’s Nuclear Weapons Program:
Foreign supplies of nuclear fuel
to India’s civil nuclear sector will reduce or eliminate India’s
need to sacrifice electricity production to produce weapons-grade
plutonium.
- This would enable India to increase
the rate of fissile material production for bombs and
violate the spirit if not the letter of Article I of the NPT.
- This situation will likely worsen nuclear
arms competition in Asia.
- There is no provision in the 123 agreement
or the Indian-IAEA safeguards agreement that prohibits India from
removing heavy water from its safeguarded “civilian”
reactors and extracting tritium, which can be used as boost gas
for India’s nuclear warheads.
Safeguards on Additional Reactors Provide
Little Nonproliferation Value:
The chief nonproliferation benefit cited by the
Bush Administration is that India would put a number of reactors
and facilities under IAEA safeguards. Given that India maintains
a nuclear weapons program outside of safeguards, facility-specific
safeguards on a few additional “civilian” reactors provides
no serious nonproliferation benefits and will cost the underfunded
IAEA tens of million of dollars extra to implement.
Disagreement Regarding the Permanence
of Safeguards:
Indian officials have publicly suggested
they may withdraw from the safeguards agreement if fuel supplies
are interrupted, even if it is due to a nuclear test. An
official acknowledgment by the Government of India of the U.S. and
IAEA interpretation is necessary to ensure there is no misunderstanding
and should not be a problem if the safeguards agreement is in order.
A Declaration of Facilities to Be Safeguarded
Has Not Been Filed with the IAEA:
There is no guarantee that India will
place under safeguards the list of civil facilities it identified
in its March 6, 2006 statement to the Indian parliament.
- Section 104 of the Hyde Act requires
that the President determine, before he submits the proposed U.S.-Indian
peaceful nuclear cooperation agreement to Congress, that India,
“has filed a declaration regarding its civil facilities
and materials with the IAEA.”
- The Hyde Act also requires that the President
include with his determination an analysis and a copy of
“the declaration made by India to the IAEA identifying India’s
civil facilities to be placed under IAEA safeguards.”
- To date, India has not filed
a declaration of facilities that will be subject to the safeguards
agreement. In fact, India's safeguards agreement (Section
II A. para 13) says:
"Upon entry into force of this Agreement,
and a determination by India that all conditions conducive
to accomplishment of the objective of this Agreement are in
place, India shall file with the Agency a Declaration, based
on its sovereign decision to place voluntarily its civilian
nuclear facilities under Agency safeguards in a phased manner."
Enrichment and Reprocessing Issues:
- The State Department has informed Congress
that as a matter of policy the United States does not
intend to transfer such technologies. Congress should
transform this U.S. policy into law.
- The State Department also claims that no NSG
participating government intends to transfer such technologies
to India. However, until such time as the NSG adopts new
guidelines barring enrichment and reprocessing technologies to
non-NPT members, other states may engage in such trade with India.
- Under the NSG waiver, other countries
may continue trading with India and India asserts that
under the U.S.-Indian 123 agreement, the United States and other
suppliers should provide fuel supplies even it resumes testing.
- Congress must clarify that if India resumes
nuclear testing, the United States will terminate bilateral nuclear
trade, and immediately convene an emergency NSG meeting to seek
the termination of all NSG trade with India.
India’s Nonproliferation Record
Is Not “Impeccable:”
India has apparently relied upon
a secret program to outfit its uranium enrichment program and circumvent
other countries’ export control efforts. These procurement
practices create the potential for leakage of sensitive nuclear
technology and know-how and should be fully scrutinized by the relevant
congressional committees.
India and Iran:
In addition, at a time when the United States
and many in Congress are seeking to further sanction Iran to persuade
it to come clean on its past, secret nuclear activities and halt
its uranium enrichment, India has joined in NAM statements
supporting Iran’s nuclear program and is a major supplier
of refined petroleum products for Tehran. Furthermore,
shortly after the House vote on the Hyde Act in 2006, the State
Department belatedly reported that Indian entities had sold sensitive
missile technologies to Iran in violation of U.S. export control
laws.
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